ABC | Volume 114, Nº2, February 2020

Original Article Martins et al. Mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer Arq Bras Cardiol. 2020; 114(2):199-206 Figure 1 – Trends in mortality rates from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the most populated capital cities of five Brazilian regions, stratified by gender and age group, 2000-2015. Source: DATASUS. Green curve represents cardiovascular diseases and blue curve represents cancer Manaus Salvador Goiânia São Paulo Curitiba Brazil Late Mortality Late Mortality Female Male Female Male Late Mortality Late Mortality Female Male Female Male Late Mortality Late Mortality Female Male Female Male 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 4000 4000,00 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 400 300 350 250 150 50 0 100 200 3000,00 2000,00 1000,00 3500,00 1500,00 500,00 0,00 2500,00 3500 2500 1500 500 0 3000 2000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1000 Therefore, the determinant of the convergence of the mortality curves seems to be the greater decrease in mortality from CD. Table 2 shows the intersection points (years), real or presumed, of the mortality curves from CA and DCS. Regarding early mortality, CA ranks first in males in Goiania, and in women in all the studied cities. In late mortality, however, the intersection of the curves has not occurred in any of the cities yet, and may occur, it he trends continue, from 2026 on. 201

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